Economics
Check the arithmetic.
Enter your own numbers. The calculator keeps capacity separate from cash, charges for the fleet and for human review, and shows every formula. Repeat any line by hand and you get the same figure.
Every figure on this page is illustrative: a calculation from your inputs and the assumptions stated below. None is a quote, a forecast or a result achieved for a client.All amounts are in US dollars.
The calculator
Three steps: describe the organization, choose the missions, then test the assumptions.
Results
Each line is rounded before the next line uses it.
Hours returned
Illustrative518,400 hours
Per year, at run rate
939 hours returned per agent per year.
How this is computed
Hours returned
= Repeatable hours pool × Pool share addressed × Share agents take on
= 1,600,000 hours × 54% × 60%
= 518,400 hours
Repeatable hours pool
= Headcount in scope × Repeatable hours per person
= 2,000 × 800 hours
= 1,600,000 hours
Pool share addressed
= the lower of 100% and Pool share selected
= the lower of 100% and 54%
= 54%
Pool share selected
= Sum of the pool shares of the selected missions
= 26% + 16% + 12%
= 54%
Each line is rounded before the next line uses it.
Run-rate savings
Illustrative$18,693,504
Per year, before fleet and review costs
Capacity value$37,387,008
What the returned hours cost today. It is capacity, not cash, until it is converted.
How this is computed
Run-rate savings
= Hours returned × Share converted to cost reduction × Cost per hour
= 518,400 hours × 50% × $72.12 per hour
= $18,693,504
Cost per hour
= Fully loaded cost per person ÷ Paid-hours basis
= $150,000 ÷ 2,080 hours
= $72.12 per hour
Capacity value
= Hours returned × Cost per hour
= 518,400 hours × $72.12 per hour
= $37,387,008
Each line is rounded before the next line uses it.
Agent fleet cost
Illustrative$6,624,000
Per year, 552 agents at your assumed unit cost
How this is computed
Agent fleet cost
= Agents in fleet × Cost per agent per month × 12
= 552 × $1,000 × 12
= $6,624,000
Agents in fleet
= Sum of the fleet sizes of the selected missions
= 96 + 144 + 96 + 156 + 60
= 552
Each line is rounded before the next line uses it.
Net savings
Illustrative$6,461,453
Per year, at run rate, after fleet and review costs
How this is computed
Net savings
= Run-rate savings − Agent fleet cost − Human review cost
= $18,693,504 − $6,624,000 − $5,608,051
= $6,461,453
Human review cost
= Review hours × Cost per hour
= 77,760 hours × $72.12 per hour
= $5,608,051
Review hours
= Hours returned × Share spent on review
= 518,400 hours × 15%
= 77,760 hours
Each line is rounded before the next line uses it.
Payback period
Illustrative5.6 months
Setup cost recovered at run-rate net savings
How this is computed
Payback period
= Setup and transition cost ÷ Monthly net savings
= $3,000,000 ÷ $538,454
= 5.6 months
Monthly net savings
= Net savings ÷ 12
= $6,461,453 ÷ 12
= $538,454
Each line is rounded before the next line uses it.
Missions previously out of reach
Illustrative2
A count and a list, not dollars
- Vendor spend teardown
- Pricing reset
How this is computed
Missions previously out of reach
= Number of selected missions marked previously out of reach
= 1 + 1
= 2
The number of selected missions that no realistic human team attempts in full today. They are listed, not valued.
No savings figure is assigned to these missions. Their agents are in the fleet cost.
Solstice economics: Scenario summary
Net savings of $6.46M a year at run rate; cumulative break-even in month 20
| Inputs, as the model used them | |
|---|---|
| Headcount in scope | 2,000 |
| Fully loaded cost per person, per year | $150,000 |
| Hours per person per year on repeatable knowledge work | 800 hours |
| Annual paid-hours basis | 2,080 hours |
| Share of addressed hours that agents take on | 60% |
| Share of returned hours converted to cost reduction | 50% |
| Share of returned hours spent on human review | 15% |
| Cost per agent per month | $1,000 |
| One-time setup and transition cost | $3,000,000 |
Missions selectedClose the quarter, Vendor spend teardown, Regulatory change, Pricing reset, Board readiness. Pool share addressed: 54%. Agents in fleet: 552.
| Outputs at run rate, per year | |
|---|---|
| Hours returned | 518,400 hours |
| Capacity value | $37,387,008 |
| Run-rate savings | $18,693,504 |
| Agent fleet cost | $6,624,000 |
| Net savingsPer year, at run rate, after fleet and review costs | $6,461,453 |
| Payback periodSetup cost recovered at run-rate net savings | 5.6 months |
| Missions previously out of reachVendor spend teardown, Pricing reset | 2 |
| Staged path, setup included | |
|---|---|
| First-year net | −$2,224,509 |
| 36-month cumulative net | $8,872,323 |
| Break-even on the staged pathDifferent from payback, which assumes the full fleet from day one | Month 20 |
Every figure is illustrative: a calculation from the inputs above, in US dollars, each line rounded before the next line uses it. The cost per agent is the reader's assumption; no Solstice price is published. Not a quote, a forecast or a result achieved for a client.
Of $37.4M in capacity value a year, $6.46M is left as net savings
From capacity to cash, per year at run rate
Illustrative| Line | Amount |
|---|---|
| Capacity valueHow it is computed: 518,400 hours × $72.12 per hour | $37,387,008 |
| Less: hours redeployed, not removedHow it is computed: $37,387,008 − $18,693,504 | −$18,693,504 |
| Run-rate savingsHow it is computed: 518,400 hours × 50% × $72.12 per hour | $18,693,504 |
| Less: agent fleet costHow it is computed: 552 × $1,000 × 12 | −$6,624,000 |
| Less: human review costHow it is computed: 77,760 hours × $72.12 per hour | −$5,608,051 |
| Net savingsHow it is computed: $18,693,504 − $6,624,000 − $5,608,051 | $6,461,453 |
Run rate means a full year with the selected fleet fully live. It excludes the one-time setup cost. First-year figures are in Exhibit 2.
Monthly cost drops below traditional in month 13; cumulative break-even comes in month 20
Monthly cost of the repeatable work in scope over 36 months, traditional and with Solstice
Illustrative- The vertical axis does not start at zero.
- Stages across the top: 1 Agent One, 2 Team, 3 Fleet, 4 Enterprise. Agents live in each stage are in the table below.
- Shaded gold: months in which the cost with Solstice is below traditional. Shaded red: months in which it is above.
- For months 1 to 12 the Solstice line carries the setup and transition cost, in equal monthly amounts.
First-year net
Illustrative−$2,224,509
Months 1 to 12 on the staged path, setup included
How this is computed
First-year net
= Months in each stage × net savings per month, added up, less setup cost in the period
= (3 × $975 + 6 × $11,706 + 3 × $234,110) − $3,000,000
= −$2,224,509
The sum, for months 1 to 12, of the stage's monthly net savings less the setup cost that falls in the month. Stage figures are in the table below.
36-month cumulative net
Illustrative$8,872,323
Months 1 to 36 on the staged path, setup included
How this is computed
36-month cumulative net
= Months in each stage × net savings per month, added up, less setup cost in the period
= (3 × $975 + 6 × $11,706 + 9 × $234,110 + 18 × $538,454) − $3,000,000
= $8,872,323
The sum, for months 1 to 36, of the stage's monthly net savings less the setup cost that falls in the month. Stage figures are in the table below.
Break-even on the staged path
IllustrativeMonth 20
Different from payback, which assumes the full fleet from day one
How this is computed
The first month from which the running total of monthly net savings less setup cost stays at or above zero through month 36.
Running total after month 19: −$281,395. After month 20: $257,059.
| Stage | Months | Agents live | Net savings per month | Setup cost in stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Agent One1 agent, 1 missionMonths 1 to 3 | 1 to 3 | 1 | $975 | $750,000 |
| Team12 agents, 1 functionMonths 4 to 9 | 4 to 9 | 12 | $11,706 | $1,500,000 |
| Fleet240 agents, 5 functionsMonths 10 to 18 | 10 to 18 | 240 | $234,110 | $750,000 |
| Enterprise1,200+ agents, every functionMonths 19 to 36 | 19 to 36 | 552 | $538,454 | $0 |
| Total | $3,000,000 |
- Agents live is the lower of the stage size and your selected fleet (552 agents).
- Net savings per month is the run-rate monthly net savings ($538,454) multiplied by agents live and divided by the selected fleet.
- The setup and transition cost ($3,000,000) is booked in equal monthly amounts over months 1 to 12 ($250,000 a month; month 12 carries any rounding difference). Setup cost in stage is the sum for the months in that stage.
- Traditional cost per month is the annual cost of the pool ($115,392,000) divided by 12, held flat.
Assumptions and methodHow every figure above is calculated, and what the model leaves out.
Replace the assumptions with measurements.
A pilot runs one mission on your own data with your own reviewers. The hours, the review time and the cost are then measured, not assumed.
See how a pilot works